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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Mon Mar 11, 2013 6:56 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:18 pm 
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Keegster you are posting in a game which you cannot join after it's already started. Do not do this again. And if you do post in a thread, make sure it is on topic. Thank you.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:43 pm 
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Lynch Guyperson

The two people who are proven town made him the biggest suspicion so it's all we can really go on right now.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:59 pm 
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Okay, that's a problem, because I had suspicions on you too actually. Argh why can't this be easier?

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 7:02 pm 
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ALERT mode. 24 hours remain until No Lynch.

With 9 alive it takes 5 votes to lynch.

Alec: Lynch Lotharu
Lotharu: Lynch D-vid
Guyperson: Lynch D-vid
D-vid: Lynch Guyperson
Need Runes4: Lynch Guyperson
Chopstix: Lynch Guyperson

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 8:00 pm 
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With the finale upon us, I'm putting in my last input on why I think D-Vid should be lynched, as mafia.

First, Chopstix claimed to be investigated on day three. That means that Loth and Dzelda were investigated days one and two (if Loth was investigated at all). Why put blame solely on Dzelda the first day, then give absolutely no effort into lynching Loth the next? A single reference, yes, but that is nothing in light this: if he knew the only role that shows up as guilty but is actually innocent was dead, he would've pushed the Loth vote harder that just a single passing reference. This does bring up the question of who he really investigated, and it was likely Liquid or someone who died at night in this case. That's why I think he never actually investigated Loth, and his one time suspicion was based solely on defending himself, a power role that could save so many more lives if Loth, or anyone, took a fall.

D-Vid attempted to continue this "line of investigation" every day since the cop's death, and with the cop not around to disprove him he could go after Loth without worry.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 8:23 pm 
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You make that sound like it would be something Mafia would do. Which doesn't make any sense because they don't have any reason to.
The ones who get desperate are town because we have less than freaking 24 hours left to get to a consensus or we are pretty much fucked while mafia can just lie back and not do anything at this point and didn't have any reason to before either because they went through so many days without any casualties in their own rows. Why should a mafia start actively going for a single random person from day 3, after 5 or so townies died in a row?

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 8:31 pm 
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If the mafia is constantly pushing towards one townie, they can either lynch a townie, or cause enough issues to prevent a lynch for the day, giving them a free kill. It is a win/win.
Don't see how you wouldn't realize that with all your "analyzing"

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 9:26 pm 
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They wouldn't go for the same person so much though.
(Also if I was Mafia I wouldn't have let them try kill Reyo 3 times in a row or whatever the hell happened there)

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 9:34 pm 
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Also: no shit, Granny openly voted for the one who was presenting themselves on a silver platter for the lynching but was more reserved on someone where a vote would have looked like it came completely out of left field?

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 10:05 pm 
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Lotharu wrote:
If the mafia is constantly pushing towards one townie, they can either lynch a townie, or cause enough issues to prevent a lynch for the day, giving them a free kill. It is a win/win.
Don't see how you wouldn't realize that with all your "analyzing"

Don't. You're just as suspicious as anyone else, so don't go burning bridges with people.

That being said, we need town to vote straight ticket to get the mafia this time. There's 5 of us, and 4 of them.

If even one town doesn't vote in concensus, we're finished unless the mafia are scared that we can pull it off.

That being said, right now I think that either the votes for D-vid or the votes for Guy are mafia votes. I'm not sure what the hell Alec is doing, but whatever.

Still looking back and working through information, but if I had to say right now, I'd be leaning more towards going after Guy.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 10:08 pm 
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One, you had no way of knowing Reyo was Wolf. I wanted to mention this in my first post but didn't consider Reyo a convincing enough case unless you brought it up.

Two, if he really had investigated Loth, and found him guilty, and the only miller was just killed yesterday, he'd have been on Loth harder.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Tue Mar 12, 2013 10:20 pm 
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Guyperson wrote:
One, you had no way of knowing Reyo was Wolf. I wanted to mention this in my first post but didn't consider Reyo a convincing enough case unless you brought it up.

Two, if he really had investigated Loth, and found him guilty, and the only miller was just killed yesterday, he'd have been on Loth harder.

Okay?

Except being hard on a mafia makes you look scummy to town and clues mafia in on you being Snake. You don't exactly want to tip them off, you want to put a steady pressure on them. We already know Granny kinda played badly and got the heat on themselves and didn't have time to clarify.

Looking back, I'm still wary of Chopstix, and Cori and Alec are kinda weird too. I don't quite trust D-vid completely because it'd be in the Mafia's best interest to lead the datamining, and some of his "If I were mafia" stuff sounds like typical "I'm a villager, don't shoot!" scum stuff.

I guess I need to go back and make an assumption chart or something... augh.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Wed Mar 13, 2013 8:41 am 
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Seriously though, mafia trying to kill the same person 3 times in a row was kinda... dumb of them. Of course it didn't hurt them at all thanks to their luck or bandwaggons or whatever.
All I can tell you is I'm not mafia, I got tortured night 4, and I think at this point if I was mafia and wanted Lotharu dead at this point, since Need Runes is on my side with that, mafia could have just went and ended this with Lotharu. The fact there was no bandwaggon against him forming at all in this late part of the game and 2 townies voting for Lotharu (just believe me on that here) makes me very wary of Lotharu. As well as Guyperson and Cori at this point. Maybe Chopstix as number 4.

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 Post subject: Re: Mafia Gear Solid - DAY 6
PostPosted: Wed Mar 13, 2013 11:47 am 
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I think you're almost right but Mr. Fuzznut is number four in my head. Unless something happened while I wasn't paying attention but he's slipped under the radar for a loooong time now.

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